62.8% of Hispanics plan to vote for the Democratic candidate in the November 2020 elections, while 18.6% say they will vote for President Donald Trump, according to a survey published on Univision on Thursday.
The study, the first done nationwide among Hispanic voters for the upcoming presidential election, reflects that 18.7% of Hispanics have not yet decided their vote, a figure understandable given the more than 20 Democratic candidates to the nomination of his party.
Precisely, a week before the first debate between the Democratic presidential candidates, which will be held in Miami on June 26 and 27, Hispanic voters opted for the two figures of this party that lead the opinion polls: Joe Biden, who has 20% intention to vote, and Bernie Sanders, who adds 20%.
Behind are Julian Castro (9%), Beto O’Rourke (8%), Elizabeth Warren (7%) and Kamala Harris (6%), while 12.5% still do not know who they will support in the process. of Democratic primaries, according to this poll conducted by the pollsters Latino Decisions and North Star Opinion Research between June 11 and 17.
The study, whose full version will be published on June 25, was made to 1,007 US citizens of Hispanic origin, with the right to vote, in all 50 states, through telephone interviews and internet and with a margin of error of + / – 3.1%, according to a statement from the chain.
The survey shows that the names of the rest of the Democratic candidates barely touch the 2% of intention to vote among Hispanic voters, which reflects that although pre-candidates such as the mayor of South Bend (Indiana) Pete Buttigieg has a certain presence at the national level Within this group of voters, where it achieves 2.3% of the intention to vote, its recognition is scarce.
In general terms, the study does not reflect “any evidence that Latinos are receptive to Trump’s latest anti-immigrant rhetoric,” said Matt Barreto, co-founder of Latino Decisions.
For his part, Whit Ayres, founder and president of North Star Opinion Research, said the results suggest that “neither party should take the Hispanic vote for granted,” which will lean according to the “message and commitment” of the final candidates.
The full results, which will be released one day before the first round of the debate among the candidates, will include a section dedicated to the key state of Florida.
A recent study, published by Telemundo, reveals that 56% of Hispanics in this state, which has a 20% immigrant population, reject a new presidential term of 73 years, which officially announced Tuesday in Orlando (Florida) ) his intention to be a candidate in the elections of November 3, 2020.
According to another survey, this one of general scope and disclosed last Tuesday, Trump is in the so-called “state of the sun” behind six possible Democratic rivals in the elections of 2020.
The poll conducted among Florida voters by Quinnipiac University shows that in a possible career between Trump and former vice president Joe Biden, the Republican is 9 percentage points below (41% vs. 50%).
The other big favorite among the Democrats, Senator Bernie Sanders, receives 48% in Florida of intention to vote, compared to 42% of Trump.